Polymarket prices 85% odds of December Fed hike after hot CPI print
AI summary
Polymarket traders priced an 85% chance of a quarter-point Federal Reserve rate hike in December on Nov. 10, with bets on a larger move pushing the combined probability of tighter policy to about 97.7%. The repricing followed October's hotter-than-expected inflation report. Traders care because near-certain tightening raises the odds of higher real yields and tighter liquidity, a headwind for risk assets including crypto.
Narrative history
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28M AGOYou’re reading thisPolymarket prices 85% odds of December Fed hike after hot CPI printcrypto.news · Score 72
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1H AGOUnchained · Score 62 · via $74,000, Drops $74,000
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1H AGOBitcoin Magazine · Score 72 · via CPI print, hot CPI
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1H AGOcrypto.news · Score 75 · via CPI, hike
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2H AGOThe Defiant · Score 55 · via US CPI, CPI
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2H AGOBeInCrypto · Score 65 · via CPI, Hot
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2H AGOCryptoPotato · Score 65 · via US CPI, CPI
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4H AGOThe Defiant · Score 72 · via December, hike
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4H AGOCoinDesk · Score 55 · via Waller, Fed rate
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5H AGOCointelegraph · Score 65 · via $74K, Fed rate-hike
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6H AGOBeInCrypto · Score 55 · via 84%, Hike Odds
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10H AGOBeInCrypto · Score 72 · via hike odds, Fed hike
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17H AGOCryptoNews · Score 25 · via CPI, hotter-than-expected hotter-than-expected
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20H AGODecrypt · Score 55 · via Inflation, Fed rate
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9 NOV · 08:50crypto.news · Score 55 · via hike bets, rate hike
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6 NOV · 17:49Cointelegraph · Score 62 · via lift December, rate-hike bets
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6 NOV · 14:30Bitcoin Magazine · Score 55 · via December Fed, Fed hike
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6 NOV · 13:41BeInCrypto · Score 65 · via Jobs, December Fed
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6 NOV · 13:35CryptoPotato · Score 55 · via Jobs Smashes, Smashes
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6 NOV · 13:31CoinDesk · Score 55 · via 165,000, jobs
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6 NOV · 12:09BeInCrypto · Score 35 · via Payrolls, Nonfarm
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1 NOV · 17:23BeInCrypto · Score 45 · via Inflation Fed, Inflation
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28 OCT · 08:36CryptoNews · Score 45 · via KOSPI Rebounds, Hike Fears
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22 OCT · 16:04Bitcoin Magazine · Score 55 · via revives rate-hike, revives
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17 OCT · 11:13BeInCrypto · Score 20 · via slips hot, hot inflation
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16 OCT · 03:45BeInCrypto · Score 15 · via hike fears, Fed rate
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15 OCT · 15:53Bitcoin Magazine · Score 65 · via hot inflation, inflation data
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15 OCT · 15:20Decrypt · Score 75 · via Hot inflation, rate-hike
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15 OCT · 13:53The Defiant · Score 65 · via bitcoin slips, slips
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15 OCT · 13:33Bitcoin.com News · Score 72 · via gasoline, Fed rate
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15 OCT · 12:46CryptoPotato · Score 55 · via sell-off sell-off, inflation data
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15 OCT · 11:48Decrypt · Score 72 · via hike fears, hike
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15 OCT · 10:16CoinDesk · Score 65 · via Bitcoin slips, slips
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15 OCT · 09:40CryptoNews · Score 25 · via hike fears, revives
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15 OCT · 07:28CryptoNews · Score 65 · via Fed rate, CPI
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15 OCT · 03:57CoinDesk · Score 75 · via Fed rate, Fed
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15 OCT · 01:05Crypto Briefing · Score 55 · via Hot US, US inflation
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14 OCT · 21:10CryptoSlate · Score 72 · via rate hike, hike
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14 OCT · 17:52Bitcoin.com News · Score 65 · via slips hot, Bitcoin slips
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14 OCT · 16:51The Block · Score 75 · via hike fears, CPI
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14 OCT · 14:51Decrypt · Score 75 · via Fed rate, rate hike
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14 OCT · 14:30Bitcoin Magazine · Score 55 · via hot US, US inflation
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14 OCT · 13:50Bitcoin.com News · Score 75 · via Gasoline, inflation hits
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14 OCT · 12:59The Defiant · Score 75 · via Fed rate, Fed
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14 OCT · 12:35CryptoPotato · Score 75 · via hike fears, Fed rate
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14 OCT · 12:35BeInCrypto · Score 75 · via 3.7%, hike
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14 OCT · 12:33CoinDesk · Score 85 · via Hot, Fed
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14 OCT · 11:15CoinDesk · Score 20 · via US inflation, Print
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14 OCT · 09:45CoinDesk · Score 55 · via Bitcoin slips, slips
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14 OCT · 09:44BeInCrypto · Score 25 · via Williams, Fed Williams
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14 OCT · 05:30Cointelegraph · Score 55 · via Williams, Fed Williams
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14 OCT · 03:50CoinDesk · Score 55 · via rate hikes, hikes
