Bitcoin Price Odds on Prediction Markets Give $100K Just 27%
Bitcoin’s return to $100,000 is looking increasingly doubtful before 2027, at least in the eyes of prediction market traders. Polymarket assigns just a 27% probability to the milestone this year, while Kalshi’s October forecast sits at $87,000. With bitcoin trading near $83,416 on Tuesday, Oct. 13, traders are pricing in a far greater chance of […]
AI summary
Prediction markets are pricing only a 27% chance that bitcoin returns to $100,000 this year, with Kalshi's October forecast at $87,000. Bitcoin was trading near $83,416 on Tuesday, Oct. 13, well below the six-figure milestone. The low implied odds signal that traders see limited near-term upside, a bearish sentiment read for positioning and momentum.
